| 时间 | 操作 |
| 5:49:31 | ETHUSDT SCALE_IN @$2281 —路径C确认:15M连续6根最低>$2268+当前RSI47从超卖回升+5M StochK94金叉+买盘主导(买力2.05M vs卖力0.79M)+4H StochK=3极端超卖+费率-0.78%空头拥, BTCUSDT SKIP —BB极收口1.9%+ADX15震荡+FOMC前34h,$76389底测3次磨底但方向未明, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H StochK=1极端超卖但多空比2.4多头拥挤+大户0.48偏空,多头陷阱风险高 |
| 5:19:49 | ETHUSDT CANCEL —当前价$2270.6已跌破挂单价$2264.5下方的止损逻辑区域——不对,挂单$2264.5还没成交,当前$2270.6在挂单价上方$6。但问题是:5M RSI=21极端超卖+卖盘主导(卖力1.78M, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H ADX15震荡+$76389底测3次+5M RSI20极端超卖+FOMC前35h,方向不明, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI33+StochK=1极端超卖但多空比2.36多头拥挤+大户0.5偏空,多头陷阱风险 |
| 5:04:15 | ETHUSDT CANCEL —挂单@$2268已等3轮,06:30砸到$2268.3未成交说明买盘在$2268极薄。当前$2276继续下探中,15M连续阴线+5M RSI=32偏弱。但关键问题:价格已跌破$2279进入$2263-, ETHUSDT PATH_AMBUSH @$2264.5 —日线$2251/$2263双底支撑区,4H StochK=3/D=7极端超卖+BB收口变盘+费率-0.77%空头拥挤=轧空条件成熟。06:30放量4.8x砸到$2268后反弹=有买盘。挂$2264.5, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H ADX15震荡+BB极收口1.9%变盘蓄力+FOMC前35h,$76412底测3次未破但卖盘主导,等方向, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI35+StochK=1极端超卖但多空比2.38多头拥挤+大户多空0.5偏空+Taker0.73卖盘主导=多头陷阱风险 |
| 4:57:31 | ETHUSDT HOLD —挂单@$2268继续等。当前$2278距挂单$10(0.44%)。06:30刚砸到$2268.3几乎触及挂单价!15M 06:30放量4.8x砸到$2268后06:45立刻反弹至$2278=有买盘接盘, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H ADX15震荡+FOMC前35h+卖盘主导但OI无趋势,$76412底测3次但未破=磨底中,不碰, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI35+StochK=1极端超卖+BB极收口1.9%变盘蓄力,但多空比2.39多头拥挤+大户多空0.5偏空+Taker多空0.19极端卖盘=多头陷阱风险,等方向明确 |
| 4:42:26 | ETHUSDT PATH_AMBUSH @$2268 —4H StochK=3/D=7极端超卖+BB收口2.3%变盘+费率-0.76%空头拥挤。日线$2263是4/19和4/27双底支撑,挂$2268让利$5接。15M卖盘主导但OI仅+0.15%非趋势性下, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H ADX14.8震荡+FOMC前35h+OI无方向趋势,$76412-79439宽幅磨, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI35+StochK=1极端超卖但多空比2.37多头拥挤+大户多空0.5偏空=多头陷阱风险,不碰 |
| 2:41:30 | ETHUSDT CANCEL —挂单@$2275距当前$2287差$12(0.5%),但过去4h价格在$2280-2290窄幅震荡未再探$2275。4H StochK=3/D=7极端超卖但无金叉确认,1H RSI=37+MACD柱刚, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H ADX14.8震荡+FOMC前37h+OI无方向,$76412-79439区间磨, SOLUSDT SKIP —OI增1.88%+多空比2.42多头拥挤+新空入场2h+卖盘主导6.6x放量=多头陷阱风险极高,不碰 |
| 1:40:39 | ETHUSDT HOLD —挂单@$2275未成交,当前$2286距挂单$11(0.48%)。15M刚从$2280反弹但又回落至$2286,02:30砸到$2280放量4x后反弹至$2287=有买盘接。4H StochK=6极端, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H ADX13.5震荡+FOMC前38h+OI无方向,全周期偏空但15M RSI32已超卖不追空, SOLUSDT SKIP —全周期最弱+多空比2.4多头拥挤但价格持续走弱=多头陷阱风险,不碰 |
| 0:39:56 | ETHUSDT HOLD —挂单@$2275未成交,当前价$2280.91距挂单仅$6(0.26%)。15M刚砸到$2280放量3x卖盘主导,5M RSI17极端超卖正在接近挂单价。4H StochK=6极端超卖+费率-0.61, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H ADX13.5震荡+FOMC前39h+OI持续流出无方向,全周期偏空但5M RSI25超卖不追空, SOLUSDT SKIP —全周期最弱ADX12.2+4H StochK=3极端超卖但无反转信号+大户多空0.45偏空,不碰 |