| 时间 | 操作 |
| :35:27 | ETHUSDT CLOSE —空单入$2254当前$2295浮亏-$41(-1.8%)。路径A预期跌回$2250但实际:1)BTC已突破$78800创近期新高且4H RSI81强势,ETH被BTC拖着涨;2)ETH 4H Stoc, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI81极端超买+$78869刚冲顶,追多太晚做空太早, SOLUSDT SKIP —BB极收口1.2%+$83-84窄幅震荡无方向 |
| :34:39 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2254当前$2292浮亏-$38(-1.7%)。关键判断:1)4H StochK89/D96死叉⚡确认+MACD柱仅5.5动能弱=反弹到极限位衰竭中;2)日线高点持续下移$2422→$240, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI77超买+15M RSI34回调中,$78869冲顶后回落到$78084,方向矛盾不参与, SOLUSDT SKIP —BB极收口1.3%+$83-84窄幅震荡无方向,等变盘 |
| :33:48 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2254当前$2298浮亏-$44(-1.9%)。关键判断:1)4H StochK92/D97死叉⚡刚确认=反弹动能衰竭信号出现;2)1H看跌吞没形态+MACD柱-0.07转负;3)15M R, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI78超买+5M RSI19极端超卖=大周期见顶小周期超跌,方向矛盾不参与, SOLUSDT SKIP —BB极收口1.2%+$83.8窄幅震荡无方向,等变盘 |
| :32:58 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2254.42当前$2304浮亏-$50(-2.2%)。关键分析:1)4H StochK99到顶+MACD柱仅6.07动能弱=反弹接近极限;2)日线高点下移$2422→$2404→$2383→, BTCUSDT SKIP —1H RSI68+4H StochK97超买,冲$78869后高位震荡$78300,追多太晚追空太早, SOLUSDT SKIP —$83.8窄幅震荡BB极收口1.5%无方向,等变盘 |
| :32:01 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2254.42当前$2308浮亏-$54(-2.4%)。关键分析:1)4H RSI44仍偏空+StochK100到顶=4H反弹到极限位即将死叉回落;2)日线高点下移$2422→$2404→$2, BTCUSDT SKIP —全周期看多+1H RSI74超买,冲$78869后高位震荡,追多太晚追空太早, SOLUSDT SKIP —$84窄幅震荡BB极收口1.8%无方向,等变盘 |
| :31:03 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2254.42当前$2302浮亏-$48(-2.1%)。关键分析:1)4H RSI43仍偏空+StochK98到顶即将死叉=4H反弹接近尾声;2)日线高点下移$2422→$2404→$2383, BTCUSDT SKIP —1H RSI69+4H StochK97超买,冲$78869后回落中,方向偏多但追多太晚追空太早, SOLUSDT SKIP —$84附近窄幅震荡无方向,新空入场3h但价格不跌=可能是空头陷阱,不参与 |
| :30:11 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2254.42当前$2302.8浮亏-$48.4(-2.15%)。4H RSI43偏空+日线从$2417连续下跌至$2251后反弹,当前反弹至$2302是4H级别下跌中的1H反弹。1H RSI |
| 4:30:20 | ETHUSDT HOLD —入$2226.5当前$2239浮盈+$12.5(0.6ATR)。1H RSI23超卖修复中+15M StochK57金叉+5M RSI58偏多。反弹路径A进行中目标$2268。买力>卖力(1.43M , BTCUSDT SKIP —全周期偏空+卖盘主导7M vs买2.3M+OI平静无方向,不如ETH超卖反弹确定性高, SOLUSDT SKIP —多空比2.59多头拥挤+费率-0.0068%空头付费+新空入场1h,方向不明风险大 |