| 时间 | 操作 |
|---|
| 0:29:35 | ETHUSDT WAIT —BB收口1.3%变盘蓄力+4H RSI35偏空vs1H RSI60偏多=分歧+FOMC前16h+OI过去12h无方向+资金流向无趋势。价格$2289在$2257-2304区间中部，上下都不到位。等BB, BTCUSDT SKIP —BB收口1.3%+4H RSI35偏空+1H看跌吞没+FOMC前无信号, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI30超卖但多空比2.35极端拥挤+1H射击之星+大户0.49看空+Taker0.15极端卖盘主导，方向矛盾严重 |
| 9:28:44 | ETHUSDT WAIT —BB收口1.3%+4H RSI33偏空vs1H RSI55偏多=分歧+15M/5M刚放量砸(卖力450万vs买12万)+OI过去2h多头出逃+FOMC前17h。价格$2281在$2257支撑和$230, BTCUSDT SKIP —BB收口1.3%+4H RSI34偏空+Taker多空0.57极端卖盘主导+大户多空0.59看空+FOMC前无信号, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI29超卖但多空比2.38极端拥挤+大户0.45看空+费率0.43%偏高+BB收口1.0%，方向矛盾严重 |
| 8:27:58 | ETHUSDT WAIT —BB收口1.3%变盘蓄力+4H RSI34偏空vs1H RSI52偏多=分歧+FOMC前18h+卖盘主导(卖655k>买184k)+OI无方向。等BB突破方向确认, BTCUSDT SKIP —BB收口1.4%+4H RSI34偏空+OI流出-0.35%+FOMC前无信号, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI29超卖但多空比2.43极端拥挤+大户0.48看空+卖盘主导82k>买0+BB收口1.0%，方向矛盾 |
| 8:23:06 | ETHUSDT WAIT —BB收口1.3%变盘蓄力+MTF分歧(4H空RSI34/1H多RSI53)+FOMC前18h，等突破方向确认。上破$2304做多，下破$2270做空, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI34偏空+BB收口1.4%+FOMC前无信号, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI30超卖但多空比2.47极端拥挤+大户0.47看空+卖盘主导71k>买45k，方向矛盾 |
| 8:01:53 | ETHUSDT HOLD —入$2276.88当前$2288浮盈$11≈0.8ATR。1H MACD柱正(2.21)+4H StochK金叉(39/19)=反弹结构未破。BB极收口1.3%变盘蓄力中，价格在$2280-2304区, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI34+日线连跌，FOMC前无信号, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI30+多空比2.49极端拥挤+OI增2.19%但15M RSI73超买，方向矛盾 |
| 7:01:05 | ETHUSDT HOLD —入$2276.88当前$2284浮盈$7≈0.5ATR。1H MACD柱仍正(2.16)+4H StochK金叉未失效=反弹结构未破。但15M RSI22超卖+卖盘主导(卖482k>买201k)+价格, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI35+1H RSI39全面偏空，日线$79439→$75640连跌，卖盘主导(卖2237k>买825k)，FOMC前不碰, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI31+多空比2.49极度拥挤+大户0.48看空+Taker0.20极端卖压，OI流出-0.31%，方向矛盾不碰 |
| 6:00:12 | ETHUSDT HOLD —入$2276.88当前$2289浮盈$12≈0.86ATR。1H MACD柱仍正(3.45)+4H StochK金叉未失效=反弹结构未破。但1H StochK87/91死叉回落+15M StochK7, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H+1H全面偏空RSI36/36，日线$79439→$75640连跌，FOMC前不碰, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI31+多空比2.44极度拥挤+大户0.49看空+卖盘主导50k>买盘31k，方向矛盾不碰 |
| 4:59:18 | ETHUSDT HOLD —入$2276.88当前$2294.5浮盈$17.6≈1.27ATR。1H StochK93死叉+15M StochK7回落+5M RSI44走弱→短期冲高$2304受阻回落中。但1H MACD柱仍正+, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI37+日线连跌$79439→$75640，15M短反弹但大趋势空，FOMC前不碰, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI31+多空比2.45极度拥挤+大户0.46看空+卖盘主导，方向矛盾不碰 |