| 时间 | 操作 |
|---|
| 0:16:07 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2328当前$2321浮盈$7(0.3%)。核心逻辑：1H RSI71从超买回落中+15M RSI47+StochK=1极端超卖=短期卖压释放中。4H StochK90/91死叉⚡刚形成=4H, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI48中性+1H RSI75超买回落中+15M RSI60偏多但5M RSI39转空。FOMC前不开新仓, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI42偏空+1H RSI59中性+全周期无共振+ADX<20震荡无方向 |
| 9:15:12 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2328当前$2332浮亏$4(0.17%)。关键判断：1H RSI77超买但这波涨是空平推涨(OI过去6h降0.48%)+卖盘主导(卖169万>买124万)=不是新多入场的真涨。4H RSI, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H偏空RSI38+1H超买RSI78=同构ETH大跌小反弹，FOMC前不开新仓, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI32偏空+1H RSI72超买+ADX18.8无方向+BB收口2.6%=震荡无信号 |
| 8:14:14 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2328当前$2340浮亏$12(0.5%)。关键分析：1H刚拉了一根大阳线从$2324→$2340但这波上涨是空平推涨(OI过去2h下降0.81%)不是新多入场=涨不远。卖盘主导(卖679万, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H偏空+1H极端超买RSI78=同构ETH反弹冲顶，但BTC买盘主导+OI增1.35%有真资金进场，方向不明确不开, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI35偏空+1H RSI78超买+OI下降2.35%=弱势反弹无方向，不做 |
| 7:13:22 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2328当前$2324浮盈$4。4H RSI37偏空+下降通道($2404→$2257)未破。1H RSI67从超买回落+15M RSI48中性+StochK27低位=反弹动能已衰竭。OI 1, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI32偏空+1H RSI69反弹=同构ETH大跌小反弹，但15M RSI35+StochK5已超卖回落=反弹动能衰竭。FOMC前不开新仓。, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI28超卖+1H RSI65反弹衰竭中+15M RSI32偏空+BB收口2.3%无方向。多头占68%+费率正=散户偏多但弱势，不做。 |
| 6:12:26 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2328，当前$2323浮盈$5(0.2%)。4H RSI36偏空+下降通道未破。1H RSI68从超买回落中，15M RSI36+StochK31已转空=反弹动能衰竭确认。卖盘主导(买43万, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H偏空RSI32+1H反弹RSI71超买=同构ETH但BTC波动更大+FOMC前不开新仓, SOLUSDT SKIP —1H看跌吞没+15M RSI36偏空但4H RSI28超卖+BB收口2.3%无方向，不做 |
| 5:11:30 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2328，当前$2321浮盈$7(0.3%)。4H RSI42偏空+下降通道($2404→$2257)未破。1H RSI70从超买回落中，15M StochK从97暴跌至0=动能衰竭确认。5M, BTCUSDT SKIP —同构4H偏空+1H超买反弹，FOMC前不开新仓, SOLUSDT SKIP —SOL弱势震荡BB收口2.3%无方向，不做 |
| 4:10:38 | ETHUSDT HOLD —空单入$2328，当前$2333浮亏$5(0.2%)。4H RSI44偏空+下降通道($2404→$2257)未破=大方向空头结构完好。1H RSI78/15M RSI82极端超买=反弹冲顶末端，St, BTCUSDT SKIP —同构反弹1H RSI83极端超买+4H RSI39偏空，FOMC前不开新仓, SOLUSDT SKIP —1H射击之星+15M RSI81超买+卖盘主导但OI无方向，弱势不做 |
| 3:09:46 | ETHUSDT CANCEL —挂单@$2338.5做空，当前价$2327距挂单$11.5(0.5%)。1H RSI78+15M RSI78+StochK94/91全面超买，但卖盘主导(买75万vs卖640万=8.5:1碾压)+OI, ETHUSDT OPEN_SHORT @$2327 —4H下降通道($2404→$2257)未破RSI43偏空，1H/15M/5M全面超买(RSI78/78/74)=大跌中反弹冲顶末端。卖盘640万vs买盘75万=8.5:1碾压说明大资金在高位出货。5M, BTCUSDT SKIP —同构反弹1H RSI85极端超买+4H RSI39偏空，但BTC BB极收口1.9%变盘方向不明，FOMC前不确定性更大, SOLUSDT SKIP —SOL涨幅最小+OI无方向+BB收口2.1%+大户多空0.47偏空但买盘主导信号矛盾 |