| 时间 | 操作 |
| 3:58:20 | ETHUSDT HOLD —入$2276.88当前$2303浮盈$26≈1.87ATR。价格已突破TP$2310区域下方$7,15M RSI72+5M RSI78短期超买但1H RSI61健康+4H StochK刚金叉动能未衰竭, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI36+1H RSI38全面偏空,日线连跌$79439→$75640,15M短反弹到$76341但大趋势空,FOMC前不碰, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI33+多空比2.45极度拥挤+大户0.47看空+OI持续流出,方向矛盾不碰 |
| 2:57:27 | ETHUSDT HOLD —价$2295已触及TP$2296区域!但15M RSI=72超买+BB=94%顶部+5M StochK=36回落中→短期冲高动能衰竭。1H MACD柱转正+买盘1269k vs卖盘761k=1.67:, BTCUSDT SKIP —4H RSI35+1H RSI33全面偏空,刚砸$75640新低,FOMC前不碰, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI31+多空比2.51极度拥挤+大户0.47看空,方向矛盾不碰 |
| 1:56:30 | ETHUSDT HOLD —入$2276.88当前$2288.44浮盈$11.56≈0.83ATR。15M RSI=77超买+BB=97%顶部→短期冲高动能衰竭中,但1H MACD柱转正+买盘3216k vs卖力376k=8.5, BTCUSDT SKIP —全周期偏空+1H RSI35+刚砸$75640新低,FOMC前不碰, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI30超卖但多空比2.52极度拥挤+大户多空0.45看空,矛盾不碰 |
| 0:55:37 | ETHUSDT HOLD —入$2276.88当前$2286,浮盈$9.12(0.4%)≈0.66ATR。关键:15M BB极收口后向上突破,5M量9.6x爆量+买盘2125k vs卖盘875k=2.4:1买盘碾压。1H MAC, BTCUSDT SKIP —全周期偏空+1H RSI31+刚砸$75640新低,FOMC前不碰, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI30超卖但多空比2.47多头极度拥挤+大户多空0.45看空,方向矛盾 |
| 3:54:40 | ETHUSDT HOLD —入$2276.88当前$2277.35,浮盈$0.47几乎平。关键分析:①15M从$2257插针后连续回升至$2277,StochK=92超买但价格刚回到入场价附近;②1H RSI=34仍偏弱但MAC, BTCUSDT SKIP —全周期看空+1H RSI=25极端超卖,FOMC前不碰, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H RSI=28超卖但多空比2.5多头拥挤,方向矛盾不碰 |
| 2:53:52 | ETHUSDT HOLD —入$2276.88当前$2266,浮亏$10.88(0.48%)<1ATR($14)。关键分析:①13:00插针$2257后15M连续4根收回$2266-2275区间,卖盘虽主导但价格跌不动=抛压释放, BTCUSDT SKIP —1H RSI=17极端超卖+放量砸$75640,FOMC前不碰, SOLUSDT SKIP —全周期超卖但多空比2.52多头拥挤,方向不明 |
| 1:53:03 | ETHUSDT SCALE_IN @$2278 —路径C触发:15M 13:00插针$2257(<$2263三重底)后30min内收回$2275>$2268。买盘爆发+假破位特征明确。SCALE_IN半仓试探$2278,SL设$2242(支撑$225 |
| 1:11:02 | ETHUSDT CLOSE —入$2281.78当前$2257,浮亏$24.78(1.09%)超1.5ATR($20.9)。关键:旧路径三重底$2263已被击穿(当前$2257<$2263),路径B触发。1H RSI=23+4H |