| 时间 | 操作 |
| 5:21:44 | SOLUSDT CLOSE —取消$90.2挂单(未成交),价格从$90.4回落至$89.5横盘缩量,$90.2反弹概率低;改挂$90.0限价空单,整数关口阻力+RR=3.5:1更优, SOLUSDT PATH_AMBUSH @$90 —$90整数关口第二次测试做空,1H RSI=75+15M RSI=81超买共振,上影线确认顶部,SL在今日高点$90.4上方,4H多头趋势强故SL给足空间, BTCUSDT SKIP —在$73800-$75500区间震荡,路径A/B均未触发,无明确方向, ETHUSDT SKIP —在$2308-$2368区间震荡,路径A/B/C均未触发,等突破方向 |
| 4:20:10 | SOLUSDT PATH_AMBUSH @$90.2 —SOL从$84.8单日暴拉$5.6(+6.6%),当前$89.8贴近$90阻力,15M RSI=90极度超买+1H RSI=76超买+4H RSI=66,三周期同步超买;4H K线20:00收盘$89, BTCUSDT SKIP —BTC 4H ADX39.5趋势强但1H震荡,当前$75221在$75494阻力下方,方向不明确,SOL信号更清晰, ETHUSDT SKIP —ETH 4H RSI=48中性,1H震荡,$2355在BB中轨附近无明确方向,旧路径A挂单$2342未触发,SOL信号优先 |
| 2:19:25 | ETHUSDT CLOSE —取消$2355挂单——反弹从$2349回落至$2326后缩量横盘(18:15量380K),1H StochK=90高位但价格不涨,反弹动能衰竭,价格大概率到不了$2355。改挂$2342限价空单等路径, ETHUSDT PATH_AMBUSH @$2342 —反弹至$2340-$2345阻力区(1H BB中轨$2339+前高$2349之间),4H空头结构未破,等缩量+MACD柱转负确认做空, BTCUSDT SKIP —BB极收口1.8%方向未定,$73800-$75000区间震荡,等突破方向确认, SOLUSDT SKIP —突破$87.1但量比0.6x不满足>2x,费率0.0098%多头拥挤,不追 |
| 1:18:05 | ETHUSDT HOLD —挂单$2355仍挂着但当前价$2314已远离$2355,反弹从$2349高点回落至$2314,17:15最新K线$2310-$2314缩量(量0.87M),动能衰竭确认。关键矛盾:路径B trigge, BTCUSDT SKIP —BB极收口1.9%方向未定,16:00-17:15在$73872-$74890震荡,无明确方向信号, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H趋势向上但费率0.01%多头拥挤,$85.8附近无明确进场点 |
| 0:17:22 | ETHUSDT HOLD —挂单$2355仍有效但需重新评估。当前价$2336,反弹从$2283→$2349后回落至$2336,13:45出现大阴线($2348→$2287,量20M爆量),随后反弹至$2337。关键:反弹已经在, BTCUSDT SKIP —BB极收口1.7%方向未定,13:45爆量大阴线$74977→$73236后快速反弹至$74677,方向混乱,ETH有挂单优先, SOLUSDT SKIP —1H RSI=70超买+费率0.01%多头拥挤,4H趋势强但追多风险大,ETH有挂单优先 |
| 0:15:57 | ETHUSDT HOLD —维持挂单$2355。当前价$2334,反弹从$2349回落至$2334,16:00缩量(4.8M vs 15:30的10.5M),动能衰减但未跌破$2320反弹结束线。4H MACD柱=-3.95仍负, BTCUSDT SKIP —BB极收口1.7%方向未定,负费率轧空风险与4H StochK死叉矛盾,ETH有挂单优先管理, SOLUSDT SKIP —4H多头趋势强但费率0.01%多头拥挤,追多风险大;做空逆ADX31.8强势趋势,不碰 |
| 0:12:36 | ETHUSDT HOLD —维持挂单$2355不变。反弹从$2283冲至$2349后16:00回落至$2342,动能衰减但未完全结束(5M RSI=73短期仍强)。挂单盈亏比2.67:1(盈$72/亏$27),是好位置。当前$2, BTCUSDT SKIP —BB极收口1.7%方向未定,4H StochK=98超买但负费率矛盾,ETH有挂单优先, SOLUSDT SKIP —1H RSI=71超买+费率0.01%多头拥挤,追多风险大;做空逆4H强势趋势(ADX31.8),不碰 |
| 0:10:13 | ETHUSDT HOLD —挂单$2355未成交分析:当前价$2339,距挂单价$2355还有$16。看15M最新K线:15:30放量大阳线从$2316冲至$2349,15:45缩量收$2338,16:00小阳$2339。反弹动, BTCUSDT SKIP —BB极收口1.7%方向未定,4H StochK=98极度超买但负费率偏多,方向矛盾,ETH有挂单优先管理, SOLUSDT SKIP —1H RSI=70超买+费率0.01%多头拥挤,4H趋势向上但追多风险大,ETH有挂单优先 |